Awake in 3D "GCR Sign???" 4-26-2023
Awake-in-3D: GCR Sign???
Yuan overtakes dollar to become most-used currency in
China's cross-border transactions
Is this meaningful in Our GCR landscape? No. Not really. But I’m sure this article will make its way around GCR Land saying the opposite.
What most likely won’t see mentioned on internet clickbait
is the following, final paragraph of the article - which puts things into
factual context.
“Data from SWIFT showed that the yuan's
share of global currency transactions for trade finance rose to 4.5% in March, while
the dollar accounted for 83.71%.”
While
this is good news for China in their efforts to increase the Yuan’s use in
cross-border trade, it’s of little significance to sparking a Global Monetary
Reset.
I can explain…
The US Dollar supports a very deep capital market
globally. No other currencies come close, and deep Capital is what fuels
efficient global trade and economic development.
The USD remains the undisputed king of global commerce.
Even if most countries dramatically reduce their holdings of USD reserves, 84%
of global transactions are in USDs. This is the only thing that matters.
Even if China and Saudi Arabia begin transacting all oil
sales in Yuan (instead of USD), Saudi Arabia cannot effectively utilize/spend
all those billions of Yuan in the global market. That’s a serious problem!
Another fact we must all remember is that the Chinese Yuan
is actually pegged to the US Dollar.
No significant global trading nations are going to
stockpile and use Yuan that is dependent on the USD for its exchange rate
value. They’re going to stick with dollars, which are liquid and readily
convertible into every currency and accepted by every cross-border payment
settlement exchange on the planet.
Can China end its USD peg?
Sure. But China maintains their peg so that the Yuan is
remains less valuable than the dollar. This ensures that all things
manufactured and exported from China have very low prices compared to other
countries exports. And the USA is China’s largest export customer.
China is not going to end its USD currency peg anytime
soon.
The only realistic way for the Yuan to meaningfully
challenge the Dollar, and increase its attractiveness in global Capital Markets
is for the Yuan to become readily convertible for use everywhere on earth.
How does China do that? They back the Yuan with gold and
make the Yuan directly exchangeable for a fixed amount of the yellow metal.
And this is what I believe the BRICS endgame
will be - creating a new, asset-backed currency to challenge the USD’s global
convertibility for international trade.